Saint Etienne, with a 49 % chance of finishing as champions according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the Ligue 2 season with our model.
2026-27 season · updated Monday 9 November
How to read it: we simulate the remaining 198 matches 10.000 times with our model. 40% means the team finishes in that zone in 4 out of 10 simulated seasons; it is not a fixed prediction and it changes every week with the results.
Ligue 2FL2
· MD13
Nantes
20:00
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Grenoble
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Ligue 2FL2
· MD13
Guingamp
20:00
Stade du Roudourou
Rodez
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Ligue 2FL2
· MD13
Reims
20:00
Stade Auguste-Delaune
Saint Etienne
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Ligue 2FL2
· MD13
Nancy
20:00
Stade Marcel-Picot
Dijon
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Ligue 2FL2
· MD13
RED Star FC 93
20:00
Stade de Paris (Stade Bauer)
PAU
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Ligue 2FL2
· MD13
Metz
20:00
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Boulogne
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Ligue 2FL2
· MD13
Sochaux
20:00
Stade Auguste-Bonal
Dunkerque
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Ligue 2FL2
· MD13
Laval
20:00
Stade Francis Le Basser
Montpellier
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Ligue 2FL2
· MD13
Annecy
20:00
Parc des Sports
Clermont Foot
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Ligue 2FL2
· MD14
Montpellier
20:00
Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98
Nantes
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Ligue 2FL2
· MD14
Dijon
20:00
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Sochaux
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Ligue 2FL2
· MD14
Clermont Foot
20:00
Stade Gabriel-Montpied
Metz
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Ligue 2FL2
· MD12
PAU
0–2
FT
Nantes
No analysis was published for this match.
Ligue 2FL2
· MD12
Saint Etienne
2–0
FT
Laval
No analysis was published for this match.
Ligue 2FL2
· MD12
Clermont Foot
1–0
FT
Rodez
No analysis was published for this match.
Ligue 2FL2
· MD12
Dunkerque
3–0
FT
Guingamp
No analysis was published for this match.
Ligue 2FL2
· MD12
Boulogne
3–0
FT
Annecy
No analysis was published for this match.
Ligue 2FL2
· MD12
Nancy
1–0
FT
Sochaux
No analysis was published for this match.
Ligue 2FL2
· MD12
Grenoble
3–2
FT
Reims
No analysis was published for this match.
Ligue 2FL2
· MD12
Dijon
1–0
FT
RED Star FC 93
No analysis was published for this match.
Ligue 2FL2
· MD12
Montpellier
2–3
FT
Metz
No analysis was published for this match.
Saint Etienne, with a 49 % chance of finishing as champions according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the Ligue 2 season with our model.
Saint Etienne lead Ligue 2 with 28 points from 12 matches.
Nantes v Grenoble, on Friday 20 November (Matchday 13). The prediction and analysis are on its page.
According to our simulations, the teams most likely to win automatic promotion (top 2) are Saint Etienne (74 %), Nancy (56 %), Montpellier (31 %). It is a probability, not a certainty: it is recalculated after every matchday.
According to our simulations, the teams most at risk of finishing in the 2 relegation places are Laval (48 %), Grenoble (34 %), Sochaux (32 %). The figure is updated every week with the results.
We combine our own statistical model (Poisson and Elo) with form, absences, weather and news for every Ligue 2 match; a verifier checks every figure before publishing and all hits and misses are public.
